A Middle-of-the-Road (for Seattle) Look at City Policies from the View of the Average Seattleite

Outcome mapping for Seattle’s Education Levy: Part 2 of 2

In the previous post on Seattle’s Education Levy, we shared a high-level overview of the program, which is largely considered a model of progressive policy. 

But tracking the levy’s specific promises against its outcomes is challenging. It takes considerable effort to piece together a full picture of progress made by the 2018 levy. DEEL’s annual reports only cover four of the seven levy years, and the latest published numbers stop at 2022–23 — too early to reflect the full levy period. Updated information exists, but it is scattered across council briefings, evaluation studies, and city communications. Even then, some core outcome measures — especially race-based equity gaps — remain unpublished. 

So this analysis synthesizes what is available into the most complete public picture possible*. 

Key takeaways: preschool and early learning 

Preschool stands out as FEPP’s clearest success story. 

Independent evaluations consistently find Seattle Preschool Program classrooms to be high-quality, developmentally supportive environments. Families overwhelmingly value the program, and children show meaningful gains in school readiness. Participation is particularly strong among lower-income families and students of color. 

On achievement gap measurements, the results are mixed. On kindergarten readiness, for example, all groups except Latinx improved, but white children’s gains were so large that race-based readiness gaps actually widened.  

Investment Area  Outcome  Metrics  Numeric Values or Summary 
Preschool & Early Learning  Children are kindergarten ready  Kindergarten readiness   83% met age-appropriate widely held expectations across six domains 
  Family reported math improvement  80% saw math skill improvement 
  High-quality, culturally responsive, equitable learning environments  National quality recognition  3× CityHealth/NIEER Gold Medal 
  Multiple ways to access high-quality early learning  Children served since 2015 (first year of SPP)  11,421 
  Seat utilization  ~90% annual enrollment 
  Families satisfied/very satisfied  90%+ 
    Equity in access  48% low-income; 75% students of color (2023–24) 
  Race-based opportunity gaps are closed  TSG** growth targets by race/ethnicity  Latinx and Asian students gained ground relative to white peers on preschool growth measures, while Black children lost relative ground in some domains. 
  TSG** “widely held expectations” benchmarks  High overall performance but white children met the benchmarks at higher rates and those gaps increased modestly over time 
  WaKIDS*** readiness by race/ethnicity  Readiness rose for children of color, Asian, Black, and white children (Latinx flat), but white children’s gains were much larger. 
  WaKIDS*** readiness gaps  Race-based readiness gaps widened substantially, especially for Latinx and Black children, despite general improvement 

**TSG = Teaching Strategies GOLD, an observational formative assessment for preschool growth across six domains: language, literacy, cognitive, math, social-emotional, and physical  

***WaKIDS = kindergarten readiness assessment based on TSG, used across Washington State  

Key takeaways: K-12 

The K–12 results under FEPP are mixed but meaningful. Graduation rates rose in levy-supported schools — especially among Black students — and more students are taking AP and IB courses. The teaching workforce also became more racially diverse, and students report strong experiences with culturally responsive practices and belonging.  

But the same period also saw drops in an “on-track” composite measure that reflects academics, attendance, and discipline, along with modest declines in students’ perceptions of instructional quality. From a performance standpoint, the picture is one of system strengthening and equity progress in key areas, alongside uneven academic recovery hampered by the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Investment Area  Outcome  Metrics  Numeric Values or Summary 
K-12 School & Community-Based  Students academically prepared (grade-level standards)  Youth perceptions of skill growth  85% (21st-Century skills), 76% (social-emotional skills) 
  “On track” measures for 3rd, 6th, and 9th grades   Declines district-wide for all schools, with slightly smaller drops in levy schools 
  Students graduate high school on time  Four-year graduation rate change between 2018-19 and 2022-23 in levy schools  All students: 88%–>91%; Black students: 87%–>93% 
Students graduate college & career ready  Advanced course-taking (IB/AP) between 2018-19 and 2021-22  36%–>42% with similar increases across Black, Hispanic and ELL students 
  Targeted, high-quality instruction (evidence-based/promising)  Partner satisfaction with DEEL systems  98% of partners satisfied with DEEL systems 
  Student favorability rating on perceptions of pedagogical effectiveness in levy schools between 2021-22 and 2022-23  Elementary fell from 85% to 82% and from 86% to 81% for students of color 
  Students educated by a more diverse workforce  Teacher demographics  Small but clear growth in hiring of new teachers across all ethnic/racial subsets 
Culturally relevant practices & belonging  School climate survey in elementary schools  Slightly higher performance on culturally responsive practices in levy schools; comparable Identity & Belonging performance in levy and non-levy schools 
Access to expanded learning opportunities  Students served since 2019  49,955 students served 
K-12 School Health  Students are healthy and ready to learn  Health center utilization change  +15% year-over-year 
High-quality, culturally responsive care  Family & student feedback  Qualitatively positive in family/student feedback 

Key takeaways: Postsecondary 

Through Seattle Promise, many more high school graduates now view college as financially possible, and the program explicitly supports first-generation and historically underserved students. Colleges and evaluators point to encouraging signs that Promise students are persisting, transferring, and completing at strong rates compared to national peers. 

Equity data do not appear to be consistently published year-over-year — especially broken out by race or income — making it difficult to fully assess whether the program is meeting its long-term justice-based goals. 

Investment Areas  Outcome  Metrics  Numeric Values 
Seattle Promise (Postsecondary)  Postsecondary access  Promise participants  Annual FEPP target: 870; 2025 enrollment: 1,710 
  Promise graduates since 2019  1,224 graduates 
  Persistence & completion  3-year completion average for 2018-23 cohorts  33% (matches national avg.) 
  Fall-to-fall retention rate  57% (national avg. 53%) 
  College readiness  First-generation students  47% of Promise scholars 
  UW admission (Path to UW subset)  83% admitted 
  Race-based opportunity gaps are closed  Seattle Promise demographics  69% students of color 

 Room for growth 

If there is one area with room to grow, it’s in clear, consistent public reporting — not because the program has failed, but because its successes and areas for growth deserve to be seen and understood in full. 

We have placed extraordinary trust in this work. The next levy cycle is a chance not only to continue delivering real opportunity for students and families, but to showcase that progress openly, reinforcing confidence in a program that is already making Seattle a model of progressive education policy. 

*To map the outcomes, we looked at the goals set in the FEPP Implementation & Evaluation Plan and analyzed them against a 2025 DEEL report to the City Council; a Mayor’s office blog post on SPP enrollment; a 2024 study conducted by Mathematica; an Education Northwest evaluation of SPP in 2024; and a Seattle Promise fact, impacts and successes webpage. 

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